NYT bragte den 1. januar klummen
In 2008, a 100 Percent Chance of Alarm, i deres Science sektion, og beskriver begrebet "availability entrepreneurs" i en global warming kontekst:
"Today’s interpreters of the weather are what social scientists call availability entrepreneurs: the activists, journalists and publicity-savvy scientists who selectively monitor the globe looking for newsworthy evidence of a new form of sinfulness, burning fossil fuels."
Og hvad indebærer dette begreb så? Jo:
"When judging risks, we often go wrong by using what’s called the availability heuristic: we gauge a danger according to how many examples of it are readily available in our minds. Thus we overestimate the odds of dying in a terrorist attack or a plane crash because we’ve seen such dramatic deaths so often on television; we underestimate the risks of dying from a stroke because we don’t have so many vivid images readily available.
Slow warming doesn’t make for memorable images on television or in people’s minds, so activists, journalists and scientists have looked to hurricanes, wild fires and starving polar bears instead. They have used these images to start an “availability cascade,”(...)
The availability cascade is a self-perpetuating process: the more attention a danger gets, the more worried people become, leading to more news coverage and more fear."
Meget interessant begreb og vel egentlig ikke så fremmed fra, hvad man ellers kender: Udsatte lande, ulykker og enkeltsager der får særlig opmærksomhed fra journalister og således politikere, der som regel er væk igen, inden du kan nå at sige "dårlig meningsmåling".
Udmærket forklaring på den hærgende opportunisme i "Global Warming"-hypen, hvor skræmmescenarier og konsensus vægter højere end videnskab og rationel debat.
Eller som
Bob Carter siger om alarmisternes religion:
Rule no. 1: NEVER discuss the Science. Attack the man - Repeat the mantra.